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11 Oct · 21:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RNRostislav Niezgoda
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1707
3-1Final setsNiezgoda won
TZTadeas Zika
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1627
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niezgoda at 54%. The actual result was Rostislav Niezgoda 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rostislav Niezgoda favoured — closing 1.54
Favourite won
Total 75.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rostislav Niezgoda −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rostislav Niezgoda −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rostislav Niezgoda is favoured to win, below means Tadeas Zika.

▲ Rostislav Niezgodapre 51% → final 1%
Tadeas Zika ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsZika recovered from 26%72 points · 4 games