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12 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ATAndrii Tkachenko
🇨🇿Andrii Tkachenko
ELO 1367
1-3Final setsNovotny won
LNLadislav Novotny
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1371
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkachenko at 51%. The actual result was Ladislav Novotny 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Andrii Tkachenko favoured — closing 1.66
Upset
Total 75.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Andrii Tkachenko −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Andrii Tkachenko −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
5.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Andrii Tkachenko is favoured to win, below means Ladislav Novotny.

▲ Andrii Tkachenkopre 47% → final 0%
Ladislav Novotny ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts70 points · 4 games