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12 Oct · 13:04 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AVAlexandr Virag
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1481
3-0Final setsVirag won
JSJiri Stach
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1386
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Virag at 54%. The actual result was Alexandr Virag 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Alexandr Virag favoured — closing 1.44
Favourite won
Total 74.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Alexandr Virag −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Alexandr Virag −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.8
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alexandr Virag is favoured to win, below means Jiri Stach.

▲ Alexandr Viragpre 51% → final 39%
Jiri Stach ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsStach recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games