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12 Oct · 17:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJan Sommer
🇨🇿Jan Sommer
ELO 1482
2-3Final setsHrabec won
THTomas Hrabec
🇨🇿Tomas Hrabec
ELO 1441
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sommer at 52%. The actual result was Tomas Hrabec 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Sommer favoured — closing 1.68
Upset
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Sommer −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Sommer −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Sommer is favoured to win, below means Tomas Hrabec.

▲ Jan Sommerpre 56% → final 100%
Tomas Hrabec ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsSommer recovered from 44%53 points · 3 games