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12 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JSJan Steffan
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1452
2-3Final setsAndrle won
TATomas Andrle
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1516
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Andrle at 52%. The actual result was Tomas Andrle 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomas Andrle favoured — closing 1.68
Favourite won
Set handicap
Tomas Andrle −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tomas Andrle −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Steffan is favoured to win, below means Tomas Andrle.

▲ Jan Steffanpre 44% → final 98%
Tomas Andrle ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsSteffan recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games