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12 Oct · 21:06 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MNMatyas Navedla
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1583
2-3Final setsDousek won
TDTomas Dousek
🇨🇿Tomas Dousek
ELO 1648
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dousek at 53%. The actual result was Tomas Dousek 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomas Dousek favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 75.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tomas Dousek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tomas Dousek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matyas Navedla is favoured to win, below means Tomas Dousek.

▲ Matyas Navedlapre 43% → final 89%
Tomas Dousek ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsNavedla recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games