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13 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
EMErik Mares
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1728
3-2Final setsMares won
JKJakub Kycelt
🇨🇿Jakub Kycelt
ELO 1671
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mares at 52%. The actual result was Erik Mares 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Erik Mares favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 75.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Erik Mares −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Erik Mares −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kycelt.

▲ Erik Marespre 56% → final 90%
Jakub Kycelt ▼
Biggest swing 37 pts72 points · 4 games