13 Oct · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1736
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Biolek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1717
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Szotkowski🌟Szotkowski covers set handicap as underdog 75% (149)
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H27-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.