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13 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JSJaroslav Schwan
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1566
3-1Final setsSchwan won
MHMarcel Heczko
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1510
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Schwan at 52%. The actual result was Jaroslav Schwan 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslav Schwan favoured — closing 1.39
Favourite won
Total 74.5
62 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jaroslav Schwan −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jaroslav Schwan −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslav Schwan is favoured to win, below means Marcel Heczko.

▲ Jaroslav Schwanpre 56% → final 99%
Marcel Heczko ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsSchwan recovered from 39%53 points · 3 games