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13 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMichael Sedlacek
🇨🇿Michael Sedlacek
ELO 1763
3-1Final setsSedlacek won
JSJan Szotkowski
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1684
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sedlacek at 52%. The actual result was Michael Sedlacek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michael Sedlacek favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michael Sedlacek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michael Sedlacek −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.27
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michael Sedlacek is favoured to win, below means Jan Szotkowski.

▲ Michael Sedlacekpre 49% → final 98%
Jan Szotkowski ▼
Biggest swing 94 ptsSedlacek recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games