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13 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LMLukas Martinak
🇨🇿Lukas Martinak
ELO 1588
2-3Final setsByrtus won
SBSamuel Byrtus
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1560
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Martinak at 52%. The actual result was Samuel Byrtus 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukas Martinak favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 76.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukas Martinak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukas Martinak −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukas Martinak is favoured to win, below means Samuel Byrtus.

▲ Lukas Martinakpre 56% → final 95%
Samuel Byrtus ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts56 points · 3 games