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DeuceLab
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13 Oct · 17:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMiroslav Barta
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1395
3-1Final setsBarta won
PBPavel Berdych
🇨🇿Pavel Berdych
ELO 1369
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Berdych at 53%. The actual result was Miroslav Barta 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pavel Berdych favoured — closing 1.54
Upset
Total 74.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pavel Berdych −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pavel Berdych −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslav Barta is favoured to win, below means Pavel Berdych.

▲ Miroslav Bartapre 43% → final 89%
Pavel Berdych ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsBarta recovered from 43%72 points · 4 games