14 Oct · 05:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇨🇿Adam Svoboda
ELO 1611
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Svoboda
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1497
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
🌟Kolar covers set handicap as underdog 65% (201)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+114
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)