14 Oct · 11:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1366
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Novotny
LN
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1377
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Novotny stays under total as favourite 63% (83)
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.