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14 Oct · 09:28 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RWRichard Wagner
🇨🇿Richard Wagner
ELO 1664
3-1Final setsWagner won
JSJan Simecek
🇨🇿Jan Simecek
ELO 1586
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wagner at 54%. The actual result was Richard Wagner 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wagner favoured — closing 1.59
Favourite won
Total 74.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wagner −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wagner −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Richard Wagner is favoured to win, below means Jan Simecek.

▲ Richard Wagnerpre 51% → final 100%
Jan Simecek ▼
Biggest swing 54 pts56 points · 3 games