14 Oct · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1531
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holovatiuk
KN
🇨🇿Kamil Novak
ELO 1413
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Novak stays under total as underdog 79% (28)
Fair odds · Holovatiuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+118
H2H18-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)