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14 Oct · 21:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MVMichal Vondrak
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1585
3-1Final setsVondrak won
SKSebastian Kasnik
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vondrak at 52%. The actual result was Michal Vondrak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Vondrak favoured — closing 1.66
Favourite won
Total 76.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Vondrak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Vondrak −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.27
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Vondrak is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Kasnik.

▲ Michal Vondrakpre 56% → final 90%
Sebastian Kasnik ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 4 games