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15 Oct · 03:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MCMarek Chlebecek
🇨🇿Marek Chlebecek
ELO 1575
3-2Final setsChlebecek won
RKRichard Krejci
🇨🇿Richard Krejci
ELO 1571
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krejci at 51%. The actual result was Marek Chlebecek 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krejci favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 76.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krejci −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krejci −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 2.7
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Chlebecek is favoured to win, below means Richard Krejci.

▲ Marek Chlebecekpre 53% → final 98%
Richard Krejci ▼
Biggest swing 97 ptsChlebecek recovered from 1%72 points · 5 games