15 Oct · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VD
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1499
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dolezal
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1428
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Dolezal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.