15 Oct · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Kocian
ELO 1461
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rybar
VR
🇨🇿Vaclav Rybar
ELO 1469
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Rybar stays under total as favourite 64% (33)
Fair odds · Rybar
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.