15 Oct · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇨🇿Simon Kadavy
ELO 1598
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kadavy
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1530
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zuzanek🌟Kadavy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H35-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.