16 Oct · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1453
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Horak
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1419
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Briza🌟Horak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (187)
Fair odds · Horak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H60-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.