16 Oct · 23:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1523
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sychra
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Holik
ELO 1521
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.