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17 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DTDavid Tomasch
🇨🇿David Tomasch
ELO 1307
1-3Final setsTkachenko won
ATAndrii Tkachenko
🇨🇿Andrii Tkachenko
ELO 1346
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkachenko at 51%. The actual result was Andrii Tkachenko 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Andrii Tkachenko favoured — closing 1.79
Favourite won
Total 75.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Andrii Tkachenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Andrii Tkachenko −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Tomasch is favoured to win, below means Andrii Tkachenko.

▲ David Tomaschpre 45% → final 77%
Andrii Tkachenko ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsTomasch recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games