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17 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JSJaroslav Schwan
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1588
3-2Final setsSchwan won
RSRichard Skacelik
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1554
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Schwan at 51%. The actual result was Jaroslav Schwan 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Skacelik favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 76.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Skacelik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Skacelik −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.22
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslav Schwan is favoured to win, below means Richard Skacelik.

▲ Jaroslav Schwanpre 47% → final 11%
Richard Skacelik ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsSkacelik recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games