17 Oct · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Velicka
ELO 1504
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Velicka
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1466
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Velicka goes over total as favourite 65% (48)
Fair odds · Velicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.