17 Oct · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RA
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1476
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Adamczyk
ZL
🇨🇿Zdenek Luksa
ELO 1390
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+86
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)