18 Oct · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Marek Sedlak
ELO 1540
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sedlak
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1497
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolar🌟Sedlak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (40)
Fair odds · Sedlak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.