18 Oct · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1499
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Janata
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Janata
ELO 1519
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Janata rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (141)
Fair odds · Janata
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.