18 Oct · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Matej Volf
ELO 1497
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chlebecek
MC
🇨🇿Marek Chlebecek
ELO 1575
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Chlebecek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+78
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.