19 Oct · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RK
🇨🇿Richard Krejci
ELO 1584
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cermak
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1589
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Krejci covers set handicap as underdog 66% (102)
Fair odds · Cermak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H12-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.