19 Oct · 00:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RK
🇨🇿Richard Krejci
ELO 1584
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pycha
PP
🇨🇿Patrik Pycha
ELO 1611
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Krejci covers set handicap as underdog 66% (102)
Fair odds · Pycha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 45% · 2.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.