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18 Oct · 21:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JDJan Dzida
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1746
2-3Final setsNiezgoda won
RNRostislav Niezgoda
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1751
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dzida at 51%. The actual result was Rostislav Niezgoda 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Dzida favoured — closing 1.69
Upset
Total 76.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Dzida −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Dzida −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.27
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Dzida is favoured to win, below means Rostislav Niezgoda.

▲ Jan Dzidapre 47% → final 2%
Rostislav Niezgoda ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsNiezgoda recovered from 38%72 points · 5 games