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19 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
OPOndrej Paril
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1654
3-2Final setsParil won
PWPavel Wawrosz
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1617
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Paril at 51%. The actual result was Ondrej Paril 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wawrosz favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 76.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wawrosz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wawrosz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ondrej Paril is favoured to win, below means Pavel Wawrosz.

▲ Ondrej Parilpre 47% → final 100%
Pavel Wawrosz ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsParil recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games