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19 Oct · 09:09 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJaroslav Schwan
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1578
1-3Final setsByrtus won
SBSamuel Byrtus
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Schwan at 51%. The actual result was Samuel Byrtus 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Schwan favoured — closing 1.78
Upset
Total 73.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Schwan −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Schwan −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslav Schwan is favoured to win, below means Samuel Byrtus.

▲ Jaroslav Schwanpre 47% → final 0%
Samuel Byrtus ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsByrtus recovered from 24%71 points · 4 games