19 Oct · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1659
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Paril
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1662
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Paril🌟Revay covers set handicap as underdog 68% (239)
Fair odds · Paril
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H32-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.