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19 Oct · 17:03 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TCTibor Chmela
🇨🇿Tibor Chmela
ELO 1509
3-2Final setsChmela won
DSDavid Szotek
🇨🇿David Szotek
ELO 1504
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szotek at 51%. The actual result was Tibor Chmela 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
David Szotek favoured — closing 1.83
Upset
Total 76.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
David Szotek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
David Szotek −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tibor Chmela is favoured to win, below means David Szotek.

▲ Tibor Chmelapre 45% → final 100%
David Szotek ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsChmela recovered from 34%72 points · 3 games