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19 Oct · 21:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
VDVaclav Dolezal
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1496
3-2Final setsDolezal won
JSJan Steffan
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1425
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dolezal at 55%. The actual result was Vaclav Dolezal 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Vaclav Dolezal favoured — closing 1.62
Favourite won
Total 76.5
104 points played
Over
Set handicap
Vaclav Dolezal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Vaclav Dolezal −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Vaclav Dolezal is favoured to win, below means Jan Steffan.

▲ Vaclav Dolezalpre 59% → final 78%
Jan Steffan ▼
Biggest swing 86 ptsDolezal recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games