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20 Oct · 03:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MNMartin Novak
🇨🇿Martin Novak
ELO 1523
3-0Final setsNovak won
JSJan Steffan
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1416
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Novak at 55%. The actual result was Martin Novak 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Steffan favoured — closing 1.68
Upset
Total 75.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Steffan −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Steffan −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Novak is favoured to win, below means Jan Steffan.

▲ Martin Novakpre 52% → final 3%
Jan Steffan ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsSteffan recovered from 41%71 points · 3 games