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20 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DTDaniel Tuma
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1518
1-3Final setsSvoboda won
JSJan Svoboda
🇨🇿Jan Svoboda
ELO 1540
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Svoboda at 51%. The actual result was Jan Svoboda 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Svoboda favoured — closing 1.54
Favourite won
Total 75.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Svoboda −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jan Svoboda −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
6.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Tuma is favoured to win, below means Jan Svoboda.

▲ Daniel Tumapre 53% → final 89%
Jan Svoboda ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsTuma recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games