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20 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMartin Sobisek
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1499
3-0Final setsSobisek won
VCVladimir Cermak
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1502
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cermak at 51%. The actual result was Martin Sobisek 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Vladimir Cermak favoured — closing 1.62
Upset
Total 75.5
64 points played
Under
Set handicap
Vladimir Cermak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Vladimir Cermak −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Sobisek is favoured to win, below means Vladimir Cermak.

▲ Martin Sobisekpre 45% → final 10%
Vladimir Cermak ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsCermak recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games