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20 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMark Robin Wagner
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1655
3-0Final setsWagner won
VKVlastimil Kolar
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kolar
ELO 1579
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wagner at 53%. The actual result was Mark Robin Wagner 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mark Robin Wagner favoured — closing 1.73
Favourite won
Total 76.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mark Robin Wagner −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mark Robin Wagner −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 3.2
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mark Robin Wagner is favoured to win, below means Vlastimil Kolar.

▲ Mark Robin Wagnerpre 57% → final 11%
Vlastimil Kolar ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsKolar recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games