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21 Oct · 03:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DMDavid Mutl
🇨🇿David Mutl
ELO 1367
3-1Final setsMutl won
LMLudek Madle
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1352
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Madle at 50%. The actual result was David Mutl 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
David Mutl favoured — closing 1.68
Upset
Total 75.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
David Mutl −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
David Mutl −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Mutl is favoured to win, below means Ludek Madle.

▲ David Mutlpre 46% → final 98%
Ludek Madle ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsMutl recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games