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21 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TATomas Andrle
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1475
3-2Final setsAndrle won
DPDmitro Parhomenko
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1447
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Andrle at 51%. The actual result was Tomas Andrle 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dmitro Parhomenko favoured — closing 1.48
Upset
Total 75.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dmitro Parhomenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dmitro Parhomenko −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 2.8
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Andrle is favoured to win, below means Dmitro Parhomenko.

▲ Tomas Andrlepre 55% → final 100%
Dmitro Parhomenko ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsAndrle recovered from 21%66 points · 4 games