21 Oct · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1487
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Svoboda
AS
🇨🇿Adam Svoboda
ELO 1581
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
🌟Kolar covers set handicap as underdog 64% (209)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+94
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)