21 Oct · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1486
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Holovatiuk
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1480
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Kolar covers set handicap as underdog 64% (210)
Fair odds · Holovatiuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H24-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.