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21 Oct · 17:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMark Robin Wagner
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1695
3-2Final setsWagner won
RURadim Urbaniec
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1552
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wagner at 57%. The actual result was Mark Robin Wagner 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mark Robin Wagner favoured — closing 1.72
Favourite won
Total 76.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mark Robin Wagner −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mark Robin Wagner −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mark Robin Wagner is favoured to win, below means Radim Urbaniec.

▲ Mark Robin Wagnerpre 61% → final 80%
Radim Urbaniec ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 4 games