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21 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KDKyryl Darin
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1515
1-3Final setsTrefny won
JTJan Trefny
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1565
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trefny at 52%. The actual result was Jan Trefny 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Trefny favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 74.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Trefny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jan Trefny −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kyryl Darin is favoured to win, below means Jan Trefny.

▲ Kyryl Darinpre 44% → final 95%
Jan Trefny ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsDarin recovered from 38%65 points · 3 games