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22 Oct · 10:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ABAles Barton
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1686
3-1Final setsBarton won
TPTomas Postelt
🇨🇿Tomas Postelt
ELO 1654
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Barton at 50%. The actual result was Ales Barton 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Postelt favoured — closing 1.36
Upset
Total 77.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Postelt −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Postelt −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ales Barton is favoured to win, below means Tomas Postelt.

▲ Ales Bartonpre 54% → final 89%
Tomas Postelt ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsBarton recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games