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22 Oct · 12:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ABAles Barton
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1686
1-3Final setsMares won
EMErik Mares
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1708
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mares at 51%. The actual result was Erik Mares 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Erik Mares favoured — closing 1.18
Favourite won
Total 73.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Erik Mares −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Erik Mares −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.48
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
11.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ales Barton is favoured to win, below means Erik Mares.

▲ Ales Bartonpre 45% → final 7%
Erik Mares ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsMares recovered from 26%72 points · 4 games